Pinned Post
27,000 Miles, Minus Three
Novi just reported EOG had 27,000 miles of lateral left to drill in tight oil basins it has acreage in, based on $50 break evens and two-year payouts, discounted 25%. A reader writes in that equates to 9,000 three-mile laterals, or 13 years of drilling at current EOG rig counts.
I am not going to get into the economics of $50 break evens, and 2 year pay outs, save to say it is half cycle dung heap.
Here is EOG's only (primary) neighborhood in Loving County, in the Delaware, in the guts of the Delaware core for five different benches, including the Bone Springs, Wolfcamp A and Wolfcamp XY:

There are Oxy wells in this mess too, but EOG is hugging the State Line to the north and it has 10,000-foot wells crammed into its block like stacked cord wood.





I don't know enough about layoffs from mergers. What the article got correct is the skills gap. It's very true. I have a hell of a time getting guys that can work on these complicated rigs. It's hydraulic, electric and mechanical engineering rolled into one. Also there is such a small pool of guys that can do all three and know how and why the rigs are how they are operated. It's just one example, but it plays out over and over. Now that the rigs are starting to be ai operated, it adds yet another layer, that peels off more of the available pool of guys. Now add to it the years of influence that portrayed the industry as unreliable, and dirty as a career path. There isn't a swarm coming into it and some boomers are staying on, but the modern equipment is out of their wheelhouse. It's a huge gap to fill. Cheers