Barnett Update

This from Novi. It says exactly what you would expect it to say. The Midland Basin has peaked, well productivity is falling on all relative metrics (over-drilling= well interference =degradation =pressure depletion), but not to worry because Tier 1 level locations are only 55% taken and there is lots of running room.
Economics are half-cycle = breakeven @ $50 WTI, even discounted 25%. Spacing used in this analysis must be <500 feet on every bench, D&C costs remain the same forever and produced water disposal is not a problem. Pressure depletion never gets worse, in spite of more wells in the cores, etc. etc. Everything is good. Naturally.

Let's get updated on the Barnett, because everybody is hanging their hard hats on that to save the world.
I included Andrews, Ector and Crane Counties in this mix. As I've suggested before these wells are deep, require multiple strings of pipe,…



Novi, I now see, has changed 20 years to 13.5 years based on more precise, reasonable assumptions. Like profit.