No, I don't. You keep doing it anyway, HIH. And I don't like arguing with people about politics, or climate change, or renewables, etc. unless I start it. Its called oily stuff for a reason. There has got to be 50 other blogs to discuss this, I know; try antioilbarrel. They'll argue with you over there about anything.

Sir , excuse's moi . The US is not the world . I have this issue with all individuals on blogs where the majority of readers are from US . I can discuss how renewables are a scam and why they fail . Living in the heart of Europe I can see the deindustrialization because of '' net zero policies '' based on renewables . I recommend reading Tainter and David Korowicz on '' complexity and connectivity '' . As much as you said ''  We have to shift our focus to what can be done. I hope this helps.'' . I disagree . Hopium is not a strategy in the globalized world . Regret but this is from someone who abandoned prepping . Is it '' hopeless or hope less ''. I am still seeking an answer . No man is an island .

My grandfather and grandmother came to Oklahoma not long after it became a state, in a covered wagon. She brought with her a large cast iron pot that she used to boil water for laundry, outdoors, over wood. She die in 1992, having seen the wonders that technology and growth had brought, as well as the wars and economic disasters. The iron kettle was still in her garden, now planted with flowers. A reminder, both of how much things had changed, but also that people have been around a long time and managed to have good lives before the internet, or even indoor plumbing. Does anyone want to go back to that? If you're a fairly large percentage of the global population, you're still there. And most of the growth in the world's population is in those countries. Meanwhile, as Mike has been pointing out tirelessly, we've been keeping the price of hydrocarbon based energy and materials below replacement cost for over a decade. "Replacement cost" meaning what it's going to take to replace the functions hydrocarbons have been performing up until now, when the cost and accessibility of them will go through the roof. That time's coming to the US, way faster than it should be.

Think of the debate about "peak supply" as a form of Pascal's Wager - when the stakes are existential, can we afford to pretend that the issue is just a money grab, as though there are lots of alternatives to choose from?

One person switching to renewables won't make a bit of difference. A whole country switching to renewables can make a difference.

Norway switching to EVs and using its vast hydroelectric resources can make a difference. With the North Sea deleting it's oil reserve, this can aid in the transition.

There is going to be a vast shift in who uses what. The hope is that we are intelligent enough to recognize the dangers and take steps to adapt. With efforts being made to create more efficient solar cells, longer lasting and more energy dense battery for electrical storage, and the transition to electrified transportation, we might be able to transition more effectively. Otherwise, we will have a rough time. Again, I am hopeful that we will transition. We, as a world, recognize the situation and are investing in that direction.

I remember the effects of the oil embargoes. I can remember seeing overloaded with firework pickup trucks broken down along side of the roads due in some cases to flat tires. I can remember how dense the fireplace smoke was in my neighborhood. I don't wish that on my kids and grandkid. So yes, I am supportive of our efforts to transition to renewables. I hope you are taking steps to easy the transition.

I don't know, maybe is just me, but fat peaks like that are not a thing in nature, nor in any past peaks, and doesn't rhyme with anything we know about what we know about tight oil, I see that fat peak very unlikely. Also people tend to project the present into the future, if EIA said peak is here, it means that the Red Queen might have stumbled. My take is that we are already there and the crazy WTI fluctuations are a sign of it. And if the fat peak is a hard sell, the "decline slowly" is from another planet given what type of resource we are talking about.

Anne, I know you know this but our nation's hydrocarbon future won't look anything like this over the next 5 years. This is yet another EIA lie that Berman, of all people, should be able to see thru and not want to put his name on.

Take the colors out and this chart looks like a slide deck from AGIP on conventional field off the coast of Italy.

When every foot of rock is drilled up with longer laterals in the Permian and there is no more room in Tier 1 and 2 acreage, it is all gassed out, watered out, and the sector has to move to the flanks, in Culberson, or Reagan Counties, the Permian won't look anything like this. Not even close. There are already 53,000 HZ wells in the Permian, this projection will take another 30,000.

Almost half of all this projected growth is going to be exported anyway and will not help the American consumer more a few cents a gallon, if that.